Baseball · MLB

Daily AI MLB picks

Baseball is a numbers game: 162 games per team, nearly every day from spring to fall. That makes it perfect for artificial intelligence. SafeBet’s AI has analyzed 4,500+ MLB games and weighs pitching matchups, lineups and historic data against the sportsbook odds to find daily value.

  • Season: March – October
  • Picks: Daily during the season
  • 4,500+ MLB games analyzed

Updated

Bet types

Accurate MLB predictions with artificial intelligence

The AI covers 7 types of MLB bets. Every pick comes with an AI Safe Score from 1 to 99 and a breakdown of the reasoning, the risks and the best place to bet it.

  • Moneyline

    The winner of the game, according to the AI.

  • Over/under

    How many runs will be scored? Just ask the AI for advice.

  • MLB run line

    Baseball’s version of the spread — usually 1.5 runs. Back a favorite at -1.5 and it has to win by 2 or more.

  • Strikeouts thrown

    Pitcher props on the number of strikeouts in a game.

  • Total bases

    Batter props on total bases: a single counts 1, a double 2, a triple 3 and a home run 4.

  • 1st 5 innings

    Bets on the first five innings only — isolating the starting pitching matchup.

  • Game parlay

    Several MLB picks combined into one ticket for a bigger payout.

Inside the model

How the AI reads an MLB game

Don’t bet with emotions. SafeBet’s AI weighs the same factors every time — and only sends a pick when the numbers say the odds are wrong.

Starting pitchers

The biggest single factor in baseball odds. The AI weighs each starter’s recent form and history against the opposing lineup.

Daily lineups

Lineup cards change every day. The AI waits for the formation before it locks a pick.

Historic matchups

Thousands of games of head-to-head results, ballpark effects and scoring patterns.

SafeBet odds vs. the sportsbook

The AI calculates its own odds for every game. A pick is only sent when the sportsbook line is off — and the AI Safe Score shows how strong that edge is.

When you receive MLB picks

With games almost every day, MLB picks usually arrive on game day, once the lineups are known.

Track record

Our past MLB picks

Real MLB picks from SafeBet — wins and losses. Across the 10 picks below, the record is 6–3–1 (W–L–P) for +4.25u at 1 unit per pick.

Free weekly picks · 4–2–1 · +2.95u

Week 36 ·

San Diego Padres -1.5 (+100)

MLB single · Won

AI Safe Score 83
MLB · Single Won

San Diego Padres – San Francisco Giants

Run line

San Diego Padres -1.5 +100

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+100
Result at 1 unit
+1.00u

Full pick breakdown for members

Week 29 ·

New York Yankees -1.5 (+125)

MLB single · Won

AI Safe Score 82
MLB · Single Won

New York Yankees – Tampa Bay Rays

Run line

New York Yankees -1.5 +125

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+125
Result at 1 unit
+1.25u

Full pick breakdown for members

Week 22 ·

Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)

MLB single · Won

AI Safe Score 80
MLB · Single Won

Toronto Blue Jays – Pittsburgh Pirates

Run line

Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +120

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+120
Result at 1 unit
+1.20u

Full pick breakdown for members

Week 21 ·

Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+150)

MLB single · Won

AI Safe Score 79
MLB · Single Won

Tampa Bay Rays – Kansas City Royals

Run line

Kansas City Royals -1.5 +150

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+150
Result at 1 unit
+1.50u

Full pick breakdown for members

Week 19 ·

St. Louis Cardinals -2 (+215)

MLB single · Lost

AI Safe Score 81
MLB · Single Lost

Milwaukee Brewers – St. Louis Cardinals

Run line

St. Louis Cardinals -2 +215

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+215
Result at 1 unit
−1.00u

Full pick breakdown for members

Week 18 ·

New York Yankees -1.5 (+130)

MLB single · Lost

AI Safe Score 79
MLB · Single Lost

New York Yankees – Detroit Tigers

Run line

New York Yankees -1.5 +130

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+130
Result at 1 unit
−1.00u

Full pick breakdown for members

Week 16 ·

New York Yankees -2 (+145)

MLB single · Push

AI Safe Score 80
MLB · Single Push

New York Yankees – Tampa Bay Rays

Run line

New York Yankees -2 +145

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+145
Result at 1 unit
+0.00u

Full pick breakdown for members

Selected picks from the members’ channel

MLB · Single Won

Kansas City Royals – Chicago White Sox

Over/under

Total under 8 -105

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
-105
Result at 1 unit
+0.95u
MLB · Single Won

Colorado Rockies – Cincinnati Reds

Run line

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +135

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+135
Result at 1 unit
+1.35u
MLB · Single Lost

Houston Astros – Oakland Athletics

Winner

Oakland Athletics +150

SafeBet.AI

Total odds
+150
Result at 1 unit
−1.00u

Units at a flat 1-unit stake per pick at the posted odds; pushes return the stake. Past results don’t guarantee future results. See all free-pick results.

MLB events we cover

  • Regular season
  • Postseason
  • World Series

FAQ

MLB picks: frequently asked questions

What is the MLB run line?

The run line is baseball’s version of the point spread, almost always set at 1.5 runs. The favorite (-1.5) must win by at least 2 runs; the underdog (+1.5) covers if it wins, or loses by just 1. Our 2024 free picks include several run-line winners, like San Diego Padres -1.5 at +100.

What does a -2 run line mean, and what is a push?

With an alternative run line of -2, the team must win by 3 runs or more. If it wins by exactly 2, the bet is a push and your stake is returned — which is what happened with our New York Yankees -2 pick in April 2024.

How often are MLB picks sent?

Almost daily during the season. The AI selects the 3 best opportunities across all sports each day, and with up to 15 MLB games on a single day, baseball often makes the cut.

Only want MLB picks and not the other sports?

No problem. We have one Full Access Pass for all sports — no sneaky upsells — so you simply follow the MLB picks and skip the rest. Plenty of members only follow one or two sports.

Claim your MLB picks

Start beating the books with the help of AI. MLB picks and more — 3 daily picks delivered directly to your phone.

Patrick Mahomes and Conor McGregor